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Red447
6416108.7
5665124.1
333158.8
Blue140
1600119.6
5806134.7
464096.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298258100150200350400447140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#3
158.81.7
141.9143.6
Auto22.8
Teleop121.0
End16.0
red by 24.1
5806
#24
134.75.1
119.4124.5
Auto20.6
Teleop98.8
End16.8
Second
5665
#22
124.11.3
116.9118.2
Auto15.6
Teleop87.3
End19.9
red by 4.5
1600
#29
119.64.0
110.5114.5
Auto17.4
Teleop88.5
End16.3
Third
6416
#41
108.70.6
102.9102.3
Auto13.7
Teleop83.9
End14.6
red by 12.5
4640
#36
96.11.5
99.798.2
Auto16.7
Teleop75.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed