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Red269
1880120.0
3004103.3
7036106.7
Blue183
5421131.4
2265106.5
5891126.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2093240100400500600269183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120.00.2
113.9114.1
Auto16.2
Teleop84.0
End19.3
blue by 11.4
5421
#17
131.45.4
122.8128.2
Auto14.7
Teleop104.8
End13.7
Second
7036
#35
106.71.1
101.2102.3
Auto16.6
Teleop83.8
End3.7
blue by 19.7
5891
#38
126.43.9
115.5119.4
Auto14.8
Teleop98.3
End14.0
Third
3004
#31
103.30.1
95.995.8
Auto14.3
Teleop85.7
End2.9
blue by 3.2
2265
#46
106.50.9
111.2110.3
Auto14.8
Teleop82.5
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed