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Red177
2265106.5
3760113.9
5599111.4
Blue321
529893.6
640118.5
333158.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277264150200250300350400177321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3760
#25
113.917.1
65.082.1
Auto16.5
Teleop88.1
End10.2
blue by 44.8
333
#3
158.80.2
138.4138.6
Auto22.8
Teleop121.0
End16.0
Second
5599
#30
111.417.8
58.676.4
Auto15.4
Teleop87.8
End9.2
blue by 7.1
640
#23
118.517.9
58.075.9
Auto14.2
Teleop89.1
End19.5
Third
2265
#46
106.50.4
115.7115.2
Auto14.8
Teleop82.5
End7.4
red by 12.9
5298
#34
93.60.9
102.2101.3
Auto14.1
Teleop76.1
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed