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Red232
3204104.6
3419149.4
6988122.0
Blue270
1155138.9
5806134.7
3004103.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282278150200250300350400232270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.40.8
130.6131.4
Auto20.3
Teleop116.2
End15.3
red by 10.5
1155
#13
138.90.4
132.6132.3
Auto17.2
Teleop107.2
End17.7
Second
6988
#33
122.058.2
136.077.7
Auto15.3
Teleop96.8
End10.9
blue by 12.7
5806
#24
134.716.3
71.487.8
Auto20.6
Teleop98.8
End16.8
Third
3204
#26
104.618.0
56.774.7
Auto17.2
Teleop81.6
End6.5
red by 1.4
3004
#31
103.317.8
58.976.6
Auto14.3
Teleop85.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed