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Red283
485697.1
3204104.6
354151.0
Blue380
2265106.5
1796205.4
123097.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2233310100300400500600283380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
354
#5
151.02.7
143.5146.2
Auto21.6
Teleop115.7
End14.1
blue by 54.4
205.42.7
194.7197.5
Auto28.5
Teleop150.3
End27.0
Second
3204
#26
104.60.0
103.7103.7
Auto17.2
Teleop81.6
End6.5
blue by 1.9
2265
#46
106.51.5
108.7107.2
Auto14.8
Teleop82.5
End7.4
Third
4856
#47
97.11.1
97.996.9
Auto15.7
Teleop74.9
End8.5
blue by 0.6
1230
#18
97.74.5
104.099.6
Auto14.4
Teleop75.7
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed