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Red270
3419149.4
6648102.7
6416108.7
Blue310
5421131.4
4263124.4
4012104.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292260100200400500270310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.41.6
144.6146.2
Auto20.3
Teleop116.2
End15.3
red by 18.0
5421
#17
131.43.0
134.3131.3
Auto14.7
Teleop104.8
End13.7
Second
6416
#41
108.71.9
105.0106.9
Auto13.7
Teleop83.9
End14.6
blue by 15.8
4263
#14
124.41.5
116.4117.9
Auto18.8
Teleop92.5
End13.9
Third
6648
#43
102.71.7
104.9103.2
Auto13.7
Teleop77.2
End13.3
blue by 1.2
4012
#21
104.01.1
100.9102.0
Auto16.8
Teleop80.4
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed