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Red319
3760113.9
529893.6
5421131.4
Blue216
1660139.1
6195103.9
3204104.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2682920100200400500600700319216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5421
#17
131.40.7
131.3130.6
Auto14.7
Teleop104.8
End13.7
blue by 7.7
1660
#16
139.10.5
137.6138.1
Auto23.8
Teleop100.2
End15.4
Second
3760
#25
113.90.3
114.2113.9
Auto16.5
Teleop88.1
End10.2
red by 9.3
3204
#26
104.60.9
103.7104.6
Auto17.2
Teleop81.6
End6.5
Third
5298
#34
93.61.1
94.793.6
Auto14.1
Teleop76.1
End6.5
blue by 10.2
6195
#50
103.90.5
104.4103.9
Auto15.3
Teleop76.1
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed65%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed