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Red173
5800107.6
354151.0
6590132.6
Blue393
334122.7
333158.8
6648102.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297283150200250350400450173393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
354
#5
151.02.6
146.2148.8
Auto21.6
Teleop115.7
End14.1
blue by 7.8
333
#3
158.82.3
150.2152.5
Auto22.8
Teleop121.0
End16.0
Second
6590
#20
132.61.3
130.2131.5
Auto20.1
Teleop98.7
End14.8
red by 9.9
334
#10
122.70.8
120.5121.3
Auto18.3
Teleop95.9
End7.8
Third
5800
#27
107.61.3
106.3107.6
Auto15.3
Teleop85.7
End6.2
red by 4.9
6648
#43
102.70.5
103.2102.7
Auto13.7
Teleop77.2
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed