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Red397
33598.8
1796205.4
4383103.6
Blue234
369151.6
5665124.1
4571113.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3292890100200400500600700800397234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
205.42.8
197.5200.2
Auto28.5
Teleop150.3
End27.0
red by 53.8
369
#12
151.60.6
150.0150.6
Auto18.0
Teleop122.9
End10.4
Second
4383
#37
103.62.8
100.7103.6
Auto13.1
Teleop82.5
End11.3
blue by 20.5
5665
#22
124.10.9
122.7123.6
Auto15.6
Teleop87.3
End19.9
Third
335
#40
98.80.3
99.298.8
Auto13.1
Teleop76.6
End12.5
blue by 14.3
4571
#32
113.21.5
110.5112.0
Auto14.9
Teleop80.6
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed