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Red429
1507175.3
340199.7
3550140.1
Blue303
5254177.3
1559158.8
578145.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405331200300500600429303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#1
199.70.4
198.8199.2
Auto24.2
Teleop148.3
End29.6
red by 22.4
177.30.0
177.3177.3
Auto20.3
Teleop127.9
End30.4
Second
175.30.9
173.5174.4
Auto23.2
Teleop126.4
End29.0
red by 16.5
158.80.6
157.6158.2
Auto21.4
Teleop117.1
End22.0
Third
3550
#14
140.10.3
139.5139.7
Auto15.7
Teleop104.1
End22.1
blue by 4.9
578
#23
145.00.3
144.5144.8
Auto19.1
Teleop112.0
End13.6