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Red389
1507175.3
340199.7
3550140.1
Blue316
5254177.3
1559158.8
578145.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions410328200300500600389316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#1
199.70.4
199.2199.7
Auto24.2
Teleop148.3
End29.6
red by 22.4
177.30.0
177.3177.3
Auto20.3
Teleop127.9
End30.4
Second
175.30.9
174.4175.3
Auto23.2
Teleop126.4
End29.0
red by 16.5
158.80.5
158.2158.8
Auto21.4
Teleop117.1
End22.0
Third
3550
#14
140.10.3
139.7140.1
Auto15.7
Teleop104.1
End22.1
blue by 4.9
578
#23
145.00.2
144.8145.0
Auto19.1
Teleop112.0
End13.6