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Quarterfinal 2-12018 Finger Lakes Regional
Red312
1551150.2
1511164.2
1405137.0
Blue388
4361144.6
191144.9
3951139.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions380304100200500600700312388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
#4
164.20.8
162.1→162.9
Auto25.1
Teleop115.4
End24.2
red by 19.3
191
#6
144.90.6
142.2→142.8
Auto24.4
Teleop101.4
End23.0
Second
1551
#10
150.20.8
148.0→148.8
Auto14.1
Teleop112.7
End24.6
red by 5.5
4361
#21
144.60.2
143.6→143.8
Auto17.6
Teleop114.6
End15.4
Third
1405
#37
137.00.2
136.6→136.8
Auto16.4
Teleop100.4
End19.2
blue by 2.0
3951
#20
139.00.5
136.7→137.2
Auto16.5
Teleop107.0
End19.4