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Semifinal 2-12018 Finger Lakes Regional
Red540
5254177.3
1559158.8
578145.0
Blue395
3015152.0
639174.0
120151.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371364250300400450500550540395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5254
#7
177.30.0
177.2→177.2
Auto20.3
Teleop127.9
End30.4
red by 3.3
639
#3
174.00.8
172.0→172.8
Auto21.1
Teleop124.0
End32.5
Second
1559
#2
158.80.7
155.6→156.3
Auto21.4
Teleop117.1
End22.0
red by 6.7
3015
#17
152.01.3
148.7→150.0
Auto19.3
Teleop108.3
End26.5
Third
578
#23
145.00.3
143.6→143.9
Auto19.1
Teleop112.0
End13.6
blue by 6.8
120
#28
151.80.1
151.7→151.8
Auto19.0
Teleop118.5
End12.8