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Quarterfinal 3-22018 Finger Lakes Regional
Red358
5254177.3
1559158.8
578145.0
Blue279
3003147.0
3838145.5
378141.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404308100200500600700358279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5254
#7
177.30.0
177.2→177.2
Auto20.3
Teleop127.9
End30.4
red by 30.3
3003
#11
147.00.0
147.0→147.0
Auto18.2
Teleop108.2
End19.9
Second
1559
#2
158.80.8
154.8→155.6
Auto21.4
Teleop117.1
End22.0
red by 13.3
3838
#9
145.51.1
144.3→145.5
Auto23.2
Teleop97.9
End29.0
Third
578
#23
145.00.4
143.2→143.6
Auto19.1
Teleop112.0
End13.6
red by 3.1
378
#31
141.90.0
141.9→141.9
Auto16.8
Teleop103.2
End22.1