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Quarterfinal 3-12018 Finger Lakes Regional
Red392
5254177.3
1559158.8
578145.0
Blue340
3003147.0
3838145.5
378141.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403307100200500600700392340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5254
#7
177.30.0
177.1→177.2
Auto20.3
Teleop127.9
End30.4
red by 30.3
3003
#11
147.00.1
147.1→147.0
Auto18.2
Teleop108.2
End19.9
Second
1559
#2
158.80.9
153.9→154.8
Auto21.4
Teleop117.1
End22.0
red by 13.3
3838
#9
145.51.2
143.1→144.3
Auto23.2
Teleop97.9
End29.0
Third
578
#23
145.00.4
142.8→143.2
Auto19.1
Teleop112.0
End13.6
red by 3.1
378
#31
141.90.0
141.9→141.9
Auto16.8
Teleop103.2
End22.1