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Red410
5254177.3
1559158.8
578145.0
Blue362
3015152.0
639174.0
120151.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374356200250300400450500550410362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.30.0
177.3177.3
Auto20.3
Teleop127.9
End30.4
red by 3.3
639
#3
174.00.6
173.4174.0
Auto21.1
Teleop124.0
End32.5
Second
158.80.6
157.0157.6
Auto21.4
Teleop117.1
End22.0
red by 6.7
3015
#17
152.01.0
151.0152.0
Auto19.3
Teleop108.3
End26.5
Third
578
#23
145.00.3
144.2144.5
Auto19.1
Teleop112.0
End13.6
blue by 6.8
120
#28
151.80.0
151.8151.8
Auto19.0
Teleop118.5
End12.8