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Red230
174131.5
1585112.6
3173121.1
Blue395
1450125.0
3003147.0
5590145.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2503280100200300400500230395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
174
#38
131.58.7
99.5108.2
Auto21.3
Teleop91.2
End22.0
blue by 15.5
3003
#11
147.00.5
142.9143.5
Auto18.2
Teleop108.2
End19.9
Second
3173
#29
121.10.5
114.1114.6
Auto16.0
Teleop85.4
End22.2
blue by 24.2
5590
#12
145.212.7
89.4102.1
Auto18.6
Teleop110.1
End18.0
Third
1585
#42
112.69.3
81.090.4
Auto15.8
Teleop77.6
End17.5
blue by 12.5
1450
#24
125.00.4
118.9119.3
Auto20.2
Teleop92.1
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed