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Qual 112018 Finger Lakes Regional
Red315
6892108.8
4361144.6
191144.9
Blue185
703397.2
271114.3
1518152.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292289100200400500315185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191
#6
144.90.1
129.6→129.5
Auto24.4
Teleop101.4
End23.0
blue by 7.1
1518
#16
152.01.9
137.4→139.3
Auto18.3
Teleop112.7
End21.7
Second
4361
#21
144.60.0
131.9→131.9
Auto17.6
Teleop114.6
End15.4
red by 30.3
271
#44
114.38.7
99.3→108.1
Auto15.2
Teleop86.8
End8.8
Third
6892
#32
108.810.7
77.7→88.4
Auto12.5
Teleop84.1
End15.5
red by 11.7
7033
#41
97.29.6
77.7→87.4
Auto13.5
Teleop76.0
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed