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Qual 132018 Finger Lakes Regional
Red306
4093110.0
378141.9
6870120.2
Blue190
6490121.9
254495.0
2228126.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285283150200250350400450306190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
378
#31
141.90.6
137.2→137.7
Auto16.8
Teleop103.2
End22.1
red by 15.7
2228
#45
126.26.5
104.7→111.3
Auto18.2
Teleop96.4
End14.9
Second
6870
#35
120.211.4
77.7→89.1
Auto17.0
Teleop89.7
End11.6
blue by 1.7
6490
#43
121.97.0
104.3→111.3
Auto16.2
Teleop94.7
End11.4
Third
4093
#50
110.09.1
83.3→92.4
Auto16.2
Teleop82.4
End14.3
red by 15.0
2544
#46
95.010.0
84.0→94.0
Auto15.3
Teleop73.2
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed