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Red371
120151.8
1551150.2
3015152.0
Blue225
2340121.0
3181107.5
5254177.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2943130100200400500600700371225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#17
152.07.4
114.6122.0
Auto19.3
Teleop108.3
End26.5
blue by 25.3
177.31.6
168.6170.2
Auto20.3
Teleop127.9
End30.4
Second
120
#28
151.811.6
109.3120.8
Auto19.0
Teleop118.5
End12.8
red by 30.8
2340
#22
121.08.9
96.7105.6
Auto20.2
Teleop90.6
End12.3
Third
1551
#10
150.28.9
93.8102.7
Auto14.1
Teleop112.7
End24.6
red by 42.7
3181
#49
107.58.5
86.995.4
Auto14.3
Teleop76.0
End18.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed