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Qual 152018 Finger Lakes Regional
Red329
4023108.8
639174.0
1511164.2
Blue327
1126133.6
5030134.5
3799132.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338268100200300400500600329327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
639
#3
174.01.0
158.7→159.7
Auto21.1
Teleop124.0
End32.5
red by 39.5
5030
#18
134.50.8
125.6→126.4
Auto15.2
Teleop106.0
End16.7
Second
1511
#4
164.212.2
108.3→120.4
Auto25.1
Teleop115.4
End24.2
red by 30.5
1126
#30
133.67.1
103.9→111.0
Auto18.8
Teleop96.7
End20.2
Third
4023
#33
108.88.5
81.6→90.1
Auto17.2
Teleop81.0
End5.4
blue by 23.4
3799
#26
132.211.5
95.7→107.2
Auto16.7
Teleop98.4
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed