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Red277
1551150.2
3003147.0
6868110.2
Blue268
6870120.2
639174.0
1450125.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3002880100200400500600700277268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1551
#10Sur
150.28.4
102.7111.1
Auto14.1
Teleop112.7
End24.6
blue by 23.8
639
#3
174.01.3
159.7160.9
Auto21.1
Teleop124.0
End32.5
Second
3003
#11
147.01.0
143.5144.5
Auto18.2
Teleop108.2
End19.9
red by 22.0
1450
#24
125.00.9
119.3120.2
Auto20.2
Teleop92.1
End13.5
Third
6868
#39
110.26.9
91.798.6
Auto13.6
Teleop85.5
End12.8
blue by 10.0
6870
#35Sur
120.28.1
89.197.2
Auto17.0
Teleop89.7
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed