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Red381
5947116.0
3550140.1
1405137.0
Blue131
3181107.5
703397.2
3951139.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3122470100200400500381131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3550
#14
140.10.9
129.3130.3
Auto15.7
Teleop104.1
End22.1
red by 1.1
3951
#20
139.010.9
103.7114.7
Auto16.5
Teleop107.0
End19.4
Second
1405
#37
137.02.7
115.4118.1
Auto16.4
Teleop100.4
End19.2
red by 29.5
3181
#49
107.55.6
95.4101.0
Auto14.3
Teleop76.0
End18.8
Third
5947
#34
116.04.8
102.1107.0
Auto14.0
Teleop86.4
End18.1
red by 18.8
7033
#41
97.24.8
87.492.1
Auto13.5
Teleop76.0
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed