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Red92
3015152.0
254495.0
1585112.6
Blue388
4361144.6
578145.0
1126133.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244336010020030040050092388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#17
152.07.5
122.0129.5
Auto19.3
Teleop108.3
End26.5
red by 7.0
578
#23
145.07.8
115.6123.3
Auto19.1
Teleop112.0
End13.6
Second
1585
#42
112.66.8
90.497.2
Auto15.8
Teleop77.6
End17.5
blue by 32.1
4361
#21
144.60.3
131.9132.1
Auto17.6
Teleop114.6
End15.4
Third
2544
#46
95.04.9
94.098.9
Auto15.3
Teleop73.2
End8.8
blue by 38.6
1126
#30
133.66.3
111.0117.3
Auto18.8
Teleop96.7
End20.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed