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Qual 232018 Finger Lakes Regional
Red179
1511164.2
533131.8
1591102.8
Blue394
1559158.8
1518152.0
120151.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2673560100200300400500179394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
#4
164.29.5
120.4→129.9
Auto25.1
Teleop115.4
End24.2
red by 5.4
1559
#2
158.80.8
138.8→139.6
Auto21.4
Teleop117.1
End22.0
Second
533
#40
131.88.3
108.0→116.3
Auto16.1
Teleop102.5
End12.1
blue by 20.1
1518
#16
152.00.9
139.3→140.2
Auto18.3
Teleop112.7
End21.7
Third
1591
#47
102.82.2
97.9→100.1
Auto16.2
Teleop78.9
End11.0
blue by 49.0
120
#28
151.810.3
120.8→131.2
Auto19.0
Teleop118.5
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed