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Red400
1507175.3
6490121.9
1660139.1
Blue337
3838145.5
4930163.4
4023108.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332279100200400500400337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.310.5
127.8138.2
Auto23.2
Teleop126.4
End29.0
red by 11.9
163.49.8
113.1122.9
Auto18.7
Teleop123.7
End17.8
Second
1660
#15
139.111.7
104.1115.8
Auto20.6
Teleop102.6
End15.3
blue by 6.4
145.511.3
106.4117.7
Auto23.2
Teleop97.9
End29.0
Third
6490
#43
121.92.9
111.3114.2
Auto16.2
Teleop94.7
End11.4
red by 13.1
4023
#33
108.87.0
90.197.1
Auto17.2
Teleop81.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned43%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned