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Red439
156158.3
2340121.0
4361144.6
Blue242
6892108.8
578145.0
6868110.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312271100200400500439242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156
#13
158.36.3
122.2128.5
Auto18.2
Teleop112.0
End30.5
red by 13.3
578
#23
145.07.3
123.3130.7
Auto19.1
Teleop112.0
End13.6
Second
4361
#21
144.61.0
132.1133.2
Auto17.6
Teleop114.6
End15.4
red by 34.4
6868
#39
110.25.1
98.6103.7
Auto13.6
Teleop85.5
End12.8
Third
2340
#22
121.04.0
111.4115.5
Auto20.2
Teleop90.6
End12.3
red by 12.2
6892
#32
108.84.8
96.2101.0
Auto12.5
Teleop84.1
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed