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Qual 272018 Finger Lakes Regional
Red108
3799132.2
5947116.0
3181107.5
Blue371
378141.9
533131.8
254495.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287288150200250350400108371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3799
#26
132.25.9
116.5→122.4
Auto16.7
Teleop98.4
End16.1
blue by 9.7
378
#31
141.90.5
138.4→138.8
Auto16.8
Teleop103.2
End22.1
Second
5947
#34
116.06.1
107.0→113.1
Auto14.0
Teleop86.4
End18.1
blue by 15.8
533
#40
131.84.9
116.3→121.2
Auto16.1
Teleop102.5
End12.1
Third
3181
#49
107.51.5
101.0→102.5
Auto14.3
Teleop76.0
End18.8
red by 12.5
2544
#46
95.00.7
98.9→99.6
Auto15.3
Teleop73.2
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed