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Red379
3951139.0
6868110.2
533131.8
Blue90
1585112.6
4093110.0
703397.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286252010020040050060037990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3951
#20
139.016.0
74.990.9
Auto16.5
Teleop107.0
End19.4
red by 26.4
1585
#42
112.617.2
63.881.0
Auto15.8
Teleop77.6
End17.5
Second
533
#40
131.815.4
80.195.5
Auto16.1
Teleop102.5
End12.1
red by 21.8
4093
#50
110.016.9
66.483.3
Auto16.2
Teleop82.4
End14.3
Third
6868
#39
110.230.0
107.877.7
Auto13.6
Teleop85.5
End12.8
red by 13.1
7033
#41
97.219.4
97.277.7
Auto13.5
Teleop76.0
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed