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Red431
3986136.5
3173121.1
340199.7
Blue101
3181107.5
3157113.6
6490121.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3352590100200300400500600431101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#1
199.71.5
170.8172.2
Auto24.2
Teleop148.3
End29.6
red by 77.8
6490
#43
121.914.3
90.0104.3
Auto16.2
Teleop94.7
End11.4
Second
3986
#19
136.50.1
130.2130.4
Auto18.5
Teleop103.6
End16.3
red by 22.9
3157
#36
113.615.4
79.995.3
Auto14.9
Teleop89.5
End14.5
Third
3173
#29
121.11.1
115.1114.1
Auto16.0
Teleop85.4
End22.2
red by 13.6
3181
#49
107.516.5
70.586.9
Auto14.3
Teleop76.0
End18.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed