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Red282
156158.3
3003147.0
3838145.5
Blue187
1405137.0
4361144.6
1551150.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3032940100200400500600700800282187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156
#13
158.314.7
86.7101.4
Auto18.2
Teleop112.0
End30.5
red by 8.1
1551
#10
150.215.6
78.293.8
Auto14.1
Teleop112.7
End24.6
Second
3003
#11
147.00.1
142.8142.9
Auto18.2
Teleop108.2
End19.9
red by 2.4
4361
#21
144.60.7
131.2131.9
Auto17.6
Teleop114.6
End15.4
Third
145.515.5
79.394.7
Auto23.2
Teleop97.9
End29.0
red by 8.5
1405
#37
137.013.9
93.8107.7
Auto16.4
Teleop100.4
End19.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed