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Red442
1507175.3
5590145.2
4930163.4
Blue132
271114.3
3015152.0
6892108.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3052810100200400500600700442132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.312.8
104.5117.3
Auto23.2
Teleop126.4
End29.0
red by 23.2
3015
#17
152.013.1
101.5114.6
Auto19.3
Teleop108.3
End26.5
Second
163.414.7
86.7101.4
Auto18.7
Teleop123.7
End17.8
red by 49.1
271
#44
114.314.9
84.499.3
Auto15.2
Teleop86.8
End8.8
Third
5590
#12
145.216.1
73.289.4
Auto18.6
Teleop110.1
End18.0
red by 36.4
6892
#32
108.831.1
108.877.7
Auto12.5
Teleop84.1
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed