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Qual 382018 Finger Lakes Regional
Red469
2228126.2
5254177.3
4930163.4
Blue224
3003147.0
533131.8
3157113.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352271100200300400500469224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5254
#7
177.30.4
172.2→172.7
Auto20.3
Teleop127.9
End30.4
red by 30.3
3003
#11
147.00.9
145.5→146.4
Auto18.2
Teleop108.2
End19.9
Second
4930
#8
163.47.3
131.4→138.7
Auto18.7
Teleop123.7
End17.8
red by 31.6
533
#40
131.84.0
121.2→125.2
Auto16.1
Teleop102.5
End12.1
Third
2228
#45
126.21.3
114.6→115.9
Auto18.2
Teleop96.4
End14.9
red by 12.5
3157
#36
113.61.7
107.8→109.6
Auto14.9
Teleop89.5
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed