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Red443
4361144.6
3015152.0
1511164.2
Blue258
3986136.5
4093110.0
1660139.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328281150200250300350400450500443258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.25.4
135.6141.0
Auto25.1
Teleop115.4
End24.2
red by 25.1
1660
#15
139.15.6
125.5131.1
Auto20.6
Teleop102.6
End15.3
Second
3015
#17
152.01.1
131.8132.9
Auto19.3
Teleop108.3
End26.5
red by 15.5
3986
#19
136.51.0
134.1135.1
Auto18.5
Teleop103.6
End16.3
Third
4361
#21
144.61.8
133.2135.0
Auto17.6
Teleop114.6
End15.4
red by 34.6
4093
#50
110.02.2
102.3104.4
Auto16.2
Teleop82.4
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed