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Red234
4023108.8
1507175.3
1126133.6
Blue399
1559158.8
6870120.2
5952118.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356263200300400500600234399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.36.3
147.1153.4
Auto23.2
Teleop126.4
End29.0
red by 16.5
158.81.8
140.7142.5
Auto21.4
Teleop117.1
End22.0
Second
1126
#30
133.63.3
123.6126.9
Auto18.8
Teleop96.7
End20.2
red by 13.5
6870
#35
120.24.3
103.1107.4
Auto17.0
Teleop89.7
End11.6
Third
4023
#33
108.83.6
103.8107.4
Auto17.2
Teleop81.0
End5.4
blue by 9.3
5952
#25
118.10.6
110.5109.8
Auto12.5
Teleop94.3
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed