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Red343
271114.3
5590145.2
1551150.2
Blue257
1518152.0
3951139.0
6490121.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316289200400500343257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1551
#10
150.26.2
117.2123.4
Auto14.1
Teleop112.7
End24.6
blue by 1.8
1518
#16
152.01.4
141.5142.8
Auto18.3
Teleop112.7
End21.7
Second
5590
#12
145.26.7
118.5125.3
Auto18.6
Teleop110.1
End18.0
red by 6.2
3951
#20
139.02.9
119.6122.5
Auto16.5
Teleop107.0
End19.4
Third
271
#44
114.31.5
115.5117.0
Auto15.2
Teleop86.8
End8.8
blue by 7.6
6490
#43
121.92.4
117.9120.3
Auto16.2
Teleop94.7
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed