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Red213
254495.0
1518152.0
4093110.0
Blue290
156158.3
4023108.8
3173121.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294312100200400500600213290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1518
#16
152.01.9
144.0145.9
Auto18.3
Teleop112.7
End21.7
blue by 6.4
156
#13
158.36.7
141.6148.3
Auto18.2
Teleop112.0
End30.5
Second
4093
#50
110.02.9
106.6109.4
Auto16.2
Teleop82.4
End14.3
blue by 11.0
3173
#29
121.10.5
117.2117.7
Auto16.0
Teleop85.4
End22.2
Third
2544
#46
95.01.0
98.997.9
Auto15.3
Teleop73.2
End8.8
blue by 13.8
4023
#33
108.80.1
107.9108.0
Auto17.2
Teleop81.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed