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Red262
1405137.0
2340121.0
639174.0
Blue380
4930163.4
6870120.2
4361144.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322324280300340360380262380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
639
#3
174.01.6
165.1166.7
Auto21.1
Teleop124.0
End32.5
red by 10.6
163.46.4
145.7152.1
Auto18.7
Teleop123.7
End17.8
Second
1405
#37
137.02.0
130.9132.9
Auto16.4
Teleop100.4
End19.2
blue by 7.7
4361
#21
144.61.5
137.6139.2
Auto17.6
Teleop114.6
End15.4
Third
2340
#22
121.01.1
121.1120.0
Auto20.2
Teleop90.6
End12.3
red by 0.8
6870
#35
120.24.0
113.3117.3
Auto17.0
Teleop89.7
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed