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Red284
5947116.0
4361144.6
378141.9
Blue302
4930163.4
7251114.3
3173121.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327311150200250350400450500284302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4361
#21
144.62.0
139.2141.1
Auto17.6
Teleop114.6
End15.4
blue by 18.7
163.45.9
152.1158.0
Auto18.7
Teleop123.7
End17.8
Second
378
#31
141.90.7
140.0140.8
Auto16.8
Teleop103.2
End22.1
red by 20.9
3173
#29
121.10.7
117.7118.4
Auto16.0
Teleop85.4
End22.2
Third
5947
#34
116.01.4
114.3115.7
Auto14.0
Teleop86.4
End18.1
red by 1.6
7251
#27
114.30.1
115.5115.4
Auto16.2
Teleop87.3
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed53%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed