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Red370
1551150.2
174131.5
3181107.5
Blue286
639174.0
4093110.0
1591102.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2763210100200400500600700370286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1551
#10
150.24.9
134.4139.3
Auto14.1
Teleop112.7
End24.6
blue by 23.8
639
#3
174.01.2
166.7167.9
Auto21.1
Teleop124.0
End32.5
Second
174
#38
131.50.9
126.3127.2
Auto21.3
Teleop91.2
End22.0
red by 21.5
4093
#50
110.00.7
109.4110.1
Auto16.2
Teleop82.4
End14.3
Third
3181
#49
107.50.2
104.3104.5
Auto14.3
Teleop76.0
End18.8
red by 4.7
1591
#47
102.81.8
104.7102.9
Auto16.2
Teleop78.9
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsMissed61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed