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Qual 812018 Finger Lakes Regional
Red463
6414106.4
3838145.5
3015152.0
Blue217
1518152.0
378141.9
4023108.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335329200300400500463217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#17
152.03.1
142.8→146.0
Auto19.3
Teleop108.3
End26.5
red by 0.1
1518
#16
152.02.2
148.7→151.0
Auto18.3
Teleop112.7
End21.7
Second
3838
#9DQ
145.52.5
140.6→143.1
Auto23.2
Teleop97.9
End29.0
red by 3.6
378
#31
141.90.9
141.0→141.9
Auto16.8
Teleop103.2
End22.1
Third
6414
#48
106.41.7
104.8→106.4
Auto12.8
Teleop77.0
End21.8
blue by 2.3
4023
#33
108.81.0
109.8→108.8
Auto17.2
Teleop81.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsEarned11%Face the Boss oddsMissed