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Red246
1660139.1
1450125.0
271114.3
Blue252
340199.7
1126133.6
3181107.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2504080100200300500600700246252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1660
#15
139.11.1
137.9139.1
Auto20.6
Teleop102.6
End15.3
blue by 60.6
340
#1
199.72.4
194.9197.3
Auto24.2
Teleop148.3
End29.6
Second
1450
#24
125.01.0
124.0125.0
Auto20.2
Teleop92.1
End13.5
blue by 8.6
1126
#30
133.60.3
134.0134.3
Auto18.8
Teleop96.7
End20.2
Third
271
#44
114.31.3
115.6114.3
Auto15.2
Teleop86.8
End8.8
red by 6.8
3181
#49
107.51.4
106.1107.5
Auto14.3
Teleop76.0
End18.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed