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Red226
5952118.1
6490121.9
3799132.2
Blue299
5254177.3
3951139.0
4361144.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2454100100200300500600700226299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3799
#26
132.20.8
131.4132.2
Auto16.7
Teleop98.4
End16.1
blue by 45.1
177.30.6
176.5177.1
Auto20.3
Teleop127.9
End30.4
Second
6490
#43
121.90.2
121.6121.9
Auto16.2
Teleop94.7
End11.4
blue by 22.8
4361
#21
144.61.2
142.4143.6
Auto17.6
Teleop114.6
End15.4
Third
5952
#25
118.12.2
115.9118.1
Auto12.5
Teleop94.3
End12.0
blue by 20.9
3951
#20
139.03.1
133.7136.7
Auto16.5
Teleop107.0
End19.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed71%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed