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Red414
6868107.8
1585112.6
3015186.0
Blue248
1518152.0
3838145.5
2228124.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331354200300400500600414248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.00.0
186.0186.0
Auto22.4
Teleop134.6
End29.6
red by 34.1
1518
#24
152.00.0
152.0152.0
Auto18.3
Teleop112.7
End21.7
Second
1585
#11
112.60.0
112.6112.6
Auto15.8
Teleop77.6
End17.5
blue by 32.9
3838
#19
145.50.0
145.5145.5
Auto23.2
Teleop97.9
End29.0
Third
6868
#18
107.80.0
107.8107.8
Auto15.1
Teleop79.1
End11.8
blue by 16.4
2228
#40
124.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto19.1
Teleop87.0
End21.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest odds85%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss odds30%Face the Boss odds