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Red369
3157113.6
6300124.4
4930167.1
Blue152
191151.2
3951139.0
765960.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318323200250300350400450369152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4930
#13
167.10.0
167.1167.1
Auto20.5
Teleop127.2
End17.2
red by 15.9
191
#10
151.20.0
151.2151.2
Auto23.4
Teleop103.7
End21.5
Second
6300
#28
124.40.0
124.4124.4
Auto15.1
Teleop94.3
End16.1
blue by 14.6
3951
#35
139.00.0
139.0139.0
Auto16.5
Teleop107.0
End19.4
Third
113.60.0
113.6113.6
Auto14.9
Teleop89.5
End14.5
red by 53.5
7659
#44
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest odds62%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss odds8%Face the Boss odds