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Red282
2340127.4
378141.9
1511161.9
Blue358
4476192.2
5254B87.3
3181107.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311324100200400500600282358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
#32
161.90.0
161.9161.9
Auto26.7
Teleop114.0
End21.1
blue by 30.3
192.20.0
192.2192.2
Auto21.4
Teleop153.9
End16.2
Second
378
#42
141.90.0
141.9141.9
Auto16.8
Teleop103.2
End22.1
red by 34.5
3181
#16
107.50.0
107.5107.5
Auto14.3
Teleop76.0
End18.8
Third
2340
#38
127.40.0
127.4127.4
Auto21.1
Teleop95.3
End8.7
red by 40.1
87.30.0
87.387.3
Auto10.0
Teleop64.8
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest odds49%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss odds9%Face the Boss odds