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Red385
2791194.1
3003147.0
3838145.5
Blue231
1360197.6
1559169.5
765960.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36532802006008001,0001,200385231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
194.10.0
194.1194.1
Auto19.7
Teleop148.8
End23.6
blue by 3.5
1360
#39
197.60.0
197.6197.6
Auto24.7
Teleop147.9
End22.6
Second
3003
#29
147.00.0
147.0147.0
Auto18.2
Teleop108.2
End19.9
blue by 22.5
1559
#43
169.50.0
169.5169.5
Auto22.1
Teleop122.8
End27.6
Third
3838
#19
145.50.0
145.5145.5
Auto23.2
Teleop97.9
End29.0
red by 85.4
7659
#44
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest odds92%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
47%Face the Boss odds16%Face the Boss odds