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Red363
1551150.2
1511161.9
3504151.5
Blue448
5254174.6
3015186.0
5406B92.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3123690100200500600700363448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
#32
161.90.0
161.9161.9
Auto26.7
Teleop114.0
End21.1
blue by 24.1
186.00.0
186.0186.0
Auto22.4
Teleop134.6
End29.6
Second
3504
#23
151.50.0
151.5151.5
Auto21.0
Teleop112.0
End16.3
blue by 23.1
174.60.0
174.6174.6
Auto20.0
Teleop129.6
End26.8
Third
1551
#37
150.20.0
150.2150.2
Auto14.1
Teleop112.7
End24.6
red by 57.5
92.70.0
92.792.7
Auto9.4
Teleop70.1
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest odds72%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds59%Face the Boss odds