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Quarterfinal 1-22018 Hudson Valley Regional
Red477
1796176.5
2590215.5
6401129.4
Blue299
3419130.6
369134.0
1155132.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions462224100300400500600700800477299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#1
215.50.9
211.4→212.3
Auto25.7
Teleop145.9
End46.1
red by 81.5
369
#11
134.00.6
133.4→134.0
Auto16.5
Teleop109.1
End8.2
Second
1796
#3
176.50.5
174.1→174.6
Auto25.9
Teleop128.1
End23.9
red by 43.9
1155
#32
132.60.2
132.8→132.6
Auto16.4
Teleop102.5
End12.6
Third
6401
#18
129.40.1
128.8→128.9
Auto19.4
Teleop100.4
End10.3
blue by 1.2
3419
#16
130.60.2
130.3→130.6
Auto16.9
Teleop102.5
End10.1