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Red411
1796176.5
2590215.5
6401129.4
Blue169
2875148.6
4122132.3
5202114.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466229100300400500600700800411169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
215.50.9
212.3213.2
Auto25.7
Teleop145.9
End46.1
red by 66.9
148.60.0
148.7148.7
Auto17.9
Teleop115.8
End12.7
Second
176.50.5
174.6175.1
Auto25.9
Teleop128.1
End23.9
red by 44.2
132.30.6
131.3131.9
Auto19.0
Teleop98.9
End11.8
Third
6401
#18
129.40.1
128.9129.1
Auto19.4
Teleop100.4
End10.3
red by 14.5
5202
#30
114.80.2
114.6114.8
Auto14.8
Teleop82.3
End16.8